Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bryant-Denny Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Louisiana (7-7) | 14 | 18 | +36.0 | 0% | ✔ | 0 | +74.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Alabama (14-1) | 56 | 54 | -36.0 | 100% | 74 | -74.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Jordan-Hare Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Southern Miss (6-5) | 13 | 15 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 3 | +34.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Auburn (8-5) | 24 | 27 | -12.0 | 84% | 37 | -34.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Sanford Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Tennessee (5-7) | 12 | 12 | +27.0 | 2% | ✔ | 3 | +42.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Georgia (11-3) | 38 | 39 | -27.0 | 98% | 45 | -42.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Kroger Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| South Carolina (7-6) | 10 | 18 | +9.0 | 22% | ✔ | 17 | +10.5 | 18% | ✔ | |
| Kentucky (10-3) | 24 | 27 | -9.0 | 78% | 27 | -10.5 | 82% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Tiger Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Ole Miss (5-7) | 16 | 24 | +18.0 | 8% | ✔ | 9 | +47.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| LSU (10-3) | 45 | 42 | -18.0 | 92% | 57 | -47.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Davis Wade Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Florida (10-3) | 13 | 18 | +6.0 | 30% | ✘ | 26 | -10.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
| Mississippi State (8-5) | 6 | 24 | -6.0 | 70% | 16 | +10.0 | 19% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| AT&T Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Arkansas (2-10) | 17 | 17 | +25.0 | 3% | ✔ | 0 | +57.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Texas A&M (9-4) | 24 | 42 | -25.0 | 97% | 58 | -57.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Vanderbilt Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Tennessee State (4-5) | 27 | 21 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 17 | +19.5 | 6% | ✔ | |
| Vanderbilt (6-7) | 31 | 33 | -12.0 | 84% | 37 | -19.5 | 94% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 88%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 88%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.